Opinion polling for the 2023 New Zealand general election - Wikipedia
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Gap between left and right blocks has opened up, but NZ first seems likely to make it to parliament, which could make coalition negotiations interesting.

Labour is the big loser, and they should be asking serious questions about their campaign. Most of the other parties are fairly stable, with departing Labour voters seemingly moving fairly evenly among the other major parties.

  • z2k_@lemmy.nz
    3·
    1 year ago

    There could be some strategic voting for National to keep NZ First out of government, similar to the last election when more people voted for Labour to keep the Greens out.

    • SamC@lemmy.nzOP
      4·
      1 year ago

      There could be, although there’s not much evidence that in 2020 people who would have voted National strategically voted for Labour to keep the Greens out (at least in large enough numbers to matter). The media latched onto that as an interesting narrative, but there was no basis to it.

        • SamC@lemmy.nzOP
          2·
          1 year ago

          Strategy shouldn’t be much of an issue… If National are in govt, ACT will be as well… in 2020 Labour had the chance of (and eventually did) govern alone, so a strategic vote for Labour by right-wing people could make sense. It doesn’t really make much sense in this election. Sure, ACT could end up a bit smaller if enough people did it, but it’s not likely to make much difference in coalition negotiations.

          One of the big advantages of MMP is that you don’t need to vote strategically so much (for party vote at least). So just vote for the party you like the most - the only consideration is whether they might make it across the threshold.

          • flambonkscious@sh.itjust.worksEnglish
            3·
            1 year ago

            Thanks, but there’s no way I’d vote NAct, it’s more whether top would make it >5%, or should I support labour so they can keep fucking up around the margins…

            I have big issues with each party, presently

            • SamC@lemmy.nzOP
              1·
              1 year ago

              Ah right, fair enough. Yeah, TOP probably pretty unlikely to get over 5% or win an electorate. But if you really don’t like any of the other parties, it’s still worth voting for them.