I think, like many of the actions taken by the global oppressed these last few years, their success may have seemed impossible a few decaded ago but has a better chance now than ever before. ESPECIALLY if Lebanon, Egypt, Syria, Iran, or any other Arab nations take a risk and get involved. We can look to Niger’s defiance of Western imperialism as a clear example of how deeply things have changed; just recently, the US would have swiftly rallied all resources to crush them with impunity. And yet, they could barely get ECOWAS to lift a finger. Them having to resort to using Kenya as a proxy force to re-invade Haiti, and with such pitiful numbers, is an even clearer example of this. Ukraine has absolutely bankrupted the West.
That is not to say the Zionists will not retaliate as savagely as they can manage, they have already begun bombing northern Gaza civilian neighborhoods in a blind rage. Many innocent people will die. But the ultimate outcome of this new intifada has much better chances than the previous ones. We need to discard doomerism and take some hopepills comrade, we live in truly optimistic times for liberation across the whole world.
two things make me hopeful that something bigger is brewing:
The IDF ws undeniably taken by surprise. How did they miss something this big? Either Hamas got some massive outside support in terms of counter-intelligence, which means there are state actors that are actively involved, or the zionist intelligence apparatus is far weaker than we are led to believe. Which by extension leads to the question of how battle-ready the IDF actually is. Perhaps there are weaknesses to be exploited we are not yet aware of? There are reports of entire reserve units refusing to deploy near Gaza. Perhaps the morale and motivation of the average IDF soldier is lower than we think? At the end of the day they are conscripts, willing to shell palestinian civilians from afar but much less enthusiastic at the ideas of walking into the narrow streets of Gaza.
Hamas has limited resources. Black market weapons and smuggling only get you so far, and with a very battered population of slightly more than half a million, a full-on frontal attack looks very unreasonable. Right now it looks like Hamas is sacrificing everything to fight an unwinnable war, and that just can’t be the case unless the plan was to resist for decades only to commit a state-suicide. Couple this with the reports of a “tense” situation on the lebanese border, the warnings of retaliation by Egypt if Gaza is invaded, the quick endorsement that came from Saudi Arabia… Plus the ominous messages on resistance channels claiming stuff like “the worst is yet to come” and “this is just the beginning”. This can’t be it, there has to be a plan besides “let’s all run into israeli cities with our ak’s”
Exactly, while Palestine is usually not at an advantage when it comes to confrontations with the occupier (due to the equipment mismatch) – and even today they suffered seemingly bigger losses – they know what they’re doing and have been doing it for decades. Their troops are honestly very well trained if you watch videos. There’s no way they didn’t plan for what would come next, they know all the dirty tactics from the occupier.
I wouldn’t even be surprised if they’re trying to move the fight to Gaza, where Israel has suffered a devastating defeat last time they tried an incursion and then said never again. Abu Obeida said earlier that they have more POWs than the media is saying, and that they posted them all around Gaza so that the colonizer would think twice before striking.
I hope this goes well for Palestine but I feel like they don’t have the support to actually succeed and Israel will continue their genocide in force
I think, like many of the actions taken by the global oppressed these last few years, their success may have seemed impossible a few decaded ago but has a better chance now than ever before. ESPECIALLY if Lebanon, Egypt, Syria, Iran, or any other Arab nations take a risk and get involved. We can look to Niger’s defiance of Western imperialism as a clear example of how deeply things have changed; just recently, the US would have swiftly rallied all resources to crush them with impunity. And yet, they could barely get ECOWAS to lift a finger. Them having to resort to using Kenya as a proxy force to re-invade Haiti, and with such pitiful numbers, is an even clearer example of this. Ukraine has absolutely bankrupted the West.
That is not to say the Zionists will not retaliate as savagely as they can manage, they have already begun bombing northern Gaza civilian neighborhoods in a blind rage. Many innocent people will die. But the ultimate outcome of this new intifada has much better chances than the previous ones. We need to discard doomerism and take some hopepills comrade, we live in truly optimistic times for liberation across the whole world.
two things make me hopeful that something bigger is brewing:
The IDF ws undeniably taken by surprise. How did they miss something this big? Either Hamas got some massive outside support in terms of counter-intelligence, which means there are state actors that are actively involved, or the zionist intelligence apparatus is far weaker than we are led to believe. Which by extension leads to the question of how battle-ready the IDF actually is. Perhaps there are weaknesses to be exploited we are not yet aware of? There are reports of entire reserve units refusing to deploy near Gaza. Perhaps the morale and motivation of the average IDF soldier is lower than we think? At the end of the day they are conscripts, willing to shell palestinian civilians from afar but much less enthusiastic at the ideas of walking into the narrow streets of Gaza.
Hamas has limited resources. Black market weapons and smuggling only get you so far, and with a very battered population of slightly more than half a million, a full-on frontal attack looks very unreasonable. Right now it looks like Hamas is sacrificing everything to fight an unwinnable war, and that just can’t be the case unless the plan was to resist for decades only to commit a state-suicide. Couple this with the reports of a “tense” situation on the lebanese border, the warnings of retaliation by Egypt if Gaza is invaded, the quick endorsement that came from Saudi Arabia… Plus the ominous messages on resistance channels claiming stuff like “the worst is yet to come” and “this is just the beginning”. This can’t be it, there has to be a plan besides “let’s all run into israeli cities with our ak’s”
Exactly, while Palestine is usually not at an advantage when it comes to confrontations with the occupier (due to the equipment mismatch) – and even today they suffered seemingly bigger losses – they know what they’re doing and have been doing it for decades. Their troops are honestly very well trained if you watch videos. There’s no way they didn’t plan for what would come next, they know all the dirty tactics from the occupier.
I wouldn’t even be surprised if they’re trying to move the fight to Gaza, where Israel has suffered a devastating defeat last time they tried an incursion and then said never again. Abu Obeida said earlier that they have more POWs than the media is saying, and that they posted them all around Gaza so that the colonizer would think twice before striking.