My thoughts on Israel’s plan. Given their complete collapse into genocidal fascism:
Humiliate Muslim nations. If Muslim nations don’t respond Israel will have set a new paradigm where they know they can do anything they like and there’s no precedent for intervention. Then, use that to expand into the Sinai and Jordan, possibly more.
If there is intervention: go nuclear. The US might think it will benefit from a contained nuclear conflict by testing out strategies of containing a nuclear conflict. Israel may think it will benefit by restoring the possibility of nuclear war and use that to expand into the Sinai and Jordan, possibly more.
I really think it’s a mistake to not do an oil blockade. The surrounding Arab nations are sealing their fate and will come to regret acting in self interest today.
I disagree only because either way you slice it there’s no defending your actions at that point. Israel won’t be able to claim self defense if they start a world war or drop a nuke somewhere. I don’t know what the pushback would be but the paradigm of the entire world would change.
I mean, the U.S. invaded Iraq and Afghanistan with effectively zero pushback or consequences. I think Israel, backed by the U.S., is in the process of creating such a paradigm shift for itself.
My thoughts on Israel’s plan. Given their complete collapse into genocidal fascism:
Humiliate Muslim nations. If Muslim nations don’t respond Israel will have set a new paradigm where they know they can do anything they like and there’s no precedent for intervention. Then, use that to expand into the Sinai and Jordan, possibly more.
If there is intervention: go nuclear. The US might think it will benefit from a contained nuclear conflict by testing out strategies of containing a nuclear conflict. Israel may think it will benefit by restoring the possibility of nuclear war and use that to expand into the Sinai and Jordan, possibly more.
I really think it’s a mistake to not do an oil blockade. The surrounding Arab nations are sealing their fate and will come to regret acting in self interest today.
I disagree only because either way you slice it there’s no defending your actions at that point. Israel won’t be able to claim self defense if they start a world war or drop a nuke somewhere. I don’t know what the pushback would be but the paradigm of the entire world would change.
I mean, the U.S. invaded Iraq and Afghanistan with effectively zero pushback or consequences. I think Israel, backed by the U.S., is in the process of creating such a paradigm shift for itself.