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  • solrize@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    You’re not going to affect the outcome so cast whatever vote makes sleep the happiest.

  • prole@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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    2 months ago

    No. What? No! In what world does this make any sense? The only way your vote for RFK could possibly “take away” a vote from Trump, is if you were going to vote for Trump but changed your mind.

    Your vote doesn’t affect the vote count of the other candidates…

  • xmunk@sh.itjust.works
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    2 months ago

    No because RFK is a fucking joke - When states are called solid “red” or “blue” they’re usually 60+% in favor of a party. More people in your state are voting for Biden than RFK so if you’re hoping to flip your state vote for the democrat.

    • Starbuck@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      I feel like in most states, non-voters overwhelm the difference between the two candidates. Vote s d find a friend to vote with.

  • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    When people say that, they mean a person who would have voted for trump. Instead voting rfk.

    If you were never voting trump, you vote can’t be taken away because it was never voting for trump to begin with

  • frankPodmore@slrpnk.net
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    2 months ago

    No. Vote Biden.

    If you can spare the time or money, volunteer and donate to the campaign in places they can actually win.

    EDIT: Also, vote Democrat if there are any other elections going on at the same time. If Trump does win, the only chance of holding him to any kind of account is to have as many Democrats in positions of power as possible.

    Sincerely, someone who can’t vote in your elections but still lives with the knock-on effects!

      • Holyginz@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        Because trumpets will always vote Trump. People voting for third party may not be actively supporting Trump, but the 3rd party has zero chance of winning so the only way to keep Trump from winning is to vote for who actually can win against him currently. Which is biden.

      • Lemming421@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        To demonstrate the lack of a “clear mandate”.

        Yes, Trump will win if he gets one more vote than Biden, but the more he loses the popular vote by, the more justification people have for protesting.

        So if he wins on electoral college votes but loses the popular vote by a landslide, at least it shows what The People are actually thinking.

          • vzq@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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            2 months ago

            It doesn’t matter how you define it. It matters how the people that report on it define it. And almost universally, that’s horse race numbers.

            Third parties are pretty much invisible for 95% of people until they start breaking into the horse race.

            Nobody have a fuck about Ralph Nader or Pat Buchanan till they mattered for the result of the actual election in 2000. But only after the fact.

            • Knock_Knock_Lemmy_In@lemmy.world
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              2 months ago

              It matters how the people that report on it define it.

              No, it matter how the strategy analysts view the raw data. Not the media.

              Third parties are pretty much invisible for 95% of people until they start breaking into the horse race.

              Only if you focus on winning. Bernie didn’t run in the primaries to win. He ran to influence.

      • MrJameGumb@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        Being a red state doesn’t guarantee a Trump win though. In the last election he assumed Georgia would put him over the top because they are historically a red state but they actually ended up swinging over to blue by a small majority.

        There was a huge controversy around it because Trump called up people there and told them to tamper with the numbers to let him win anyway

        The Republican party is counting on the idea that people forget these things quickly lol

        • Knock_Knock_Lemmy_In@lemmy.world
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          2 months ago

          OK, but OP mentioned a Red state specifically. They want a more nuanced answer than “vote blue just in case”.

          Assume a state so red, Trump loving and Biden hating that there is no possibility of a blue win. Is voting Biden in that particular state still the best strategy for the future of the USA?

          • HubertManne@moist.catsweat.com
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            2 months ago

            There is never no possibility. Florida is considered a red state up there with texas and gore lost to it from a florida court decision on hanging chads.

            • LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world
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              2 months ago

              Florida wasn’t a red state, more democrats have won than Republicans in Florida. It’s the past few years thing that the racism is taking hold quickly.

              • HubertManne@moist.catsweat.com
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                2 months ago

                that just shows a state can change and it can change at any time. enough folks could get fed up that with your vote the outcome is different. Politics is like the stock market. You can use historical trends to guess at the future but historical trends do not always indicate future behaviour.

  • morphballganon@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    There won’t be any realistic possibility of swaying the R primary.

    Best hope we have is to get as many people onboard with Blue No Matter Who in the general.

  • vividspecter@lemm.ee
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    2 months ago

    No, that’s not how it works. It would be the same as not voting at all, since RFK has no chance of winning.

    Vote for Biden if you want to stop Trump.

    • chagall@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      It depends on the state. If it’s a purple state or a state where they do ranked-choice voting, then this is right and a vote for Biden is helpful.

      If OP is in a solid red state, he can vote for any alternative candidate and it won’t matter which alt candidate he chooses since Trump will already have it locked up.

      The only asterisk is if abortion is on the ballot as a statewide measure. That can take a red state (like Kentucky) and turn out enough voters to temporarily make it blue.

      • vividspecter@lemm.ee
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        2 months ago

        I was under the impression that the OP wanted to vote tactically, but if that isn’t relevant in their particular state, then they should vote their preference.

        Since RJK is an unhinged anti-vaxxer and conspiracy theorist, I would suggest voting for Biden, since it may move the needle for future elections.

      • Zachariah@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        Every state is a purple state. If all the voters who usually stay home voted, any state could go for Biden.

      • mecfs@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        I guarantee you Biden will outperform RFK in every state, including Wyoming and Missippi.

        Voting for RFK helps him pass the threshold for federal party funding and effectively gives money to a nut.

  • ingalls@lemmy.today
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    2 months ago

    If you live in a red state and want Trump to not get your EC votes, your most likely path to success is voting for Biden and trying as hard as you can to convince people who don’t usually vote to also do so. Voting for RFK won’t change the tally enough.

  • memfree@lemmy.ml
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    2 months ago

    Why not vote (D)? The Rs plan on contesting the voting everywhere all the time, and if the last round was any indicator, they will even contest in places the win, so… IF the goal is to take votes from Trump, it would probably be better to show that even in fire red areas, there are still some cool blues.

  • Donebrach@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    If you want Biden to win vote for Biden. Jesus fucking Christ.

    Gaming primaries is a ~potentially valid~ idea but in what world do you think voting for the other candidate in a winner-takes-all election would help your desired candidate win?

    • Etterra@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      I mean statistically in a state THAT red your there will never be enough blue votes to overcome the stupidity of the rural class, so it may not matter. Still voting for the off brand inside a 2 party system is a very bad habit to encourage. Just vote for Biden.

      • LifeInMultipleChoice@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        Georgia proved that wrong last election. Imagine if out of nowhere Texas voted blue due to all the abortion bans, Republicans would shit themselves.

        • sparkle@lemm.ee
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          2 months ago

          Well, the largest group in Texas is Latinos… idk how many of them can vote and how mant would actually vote blue though.

  • jordanlund@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    Kennedy is only on the ballot in 14 states, so first, it’s unlikely he’ll be on your ballot.

    Alaska, California, Delaware, Florida, Hawaii, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee and Utah.