• DingoBilly@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago

    Bad faith or just badly researched meme.

    Anyone can make 100% return in a year or two in the stock market. Does that make them corrupt or better than Buffet? Or is it that you need to look at it over a 30 year period.

    Fucking morons.

      • NaibofTabr@infosec.pub
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        3 months ago

        Hmm, the real question is whether this is consistent year over year… beating the S&P500 one year doesn’t really indicate anything.

        Also there are 535 people in the US congress but only like 30 on these two lists… and not the same 30 both years. How many lost money in those same years?

        • Kecessa@sh.itjust.works
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          3 months ago

          The list is much longer if you search for it, that’s hysterical the ones above and close to the same return as SPY

          • NaibofTabr@infosec.pub
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            3 months ago

            Assuming you meant “historical”, then these two years of data imply that ~5% of congress members beat the S&P500 per year, and not the same people every year… which seems statistically insignificant.

            • Kecessa@sh.itjust.works
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              3 months ago

              I don’t know what happened with my auto correct on that word as I think I meant to say “only” 🤔

              • NaibofTabr@infosec.pub
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                3 months ago

                Ah, well there you go then… 25ish people out of 535?

                Again, it’d be worrying if the same people were consistently ahead of the market… but that would also be super obvious.

                • Kecessa@sh.itjust.works
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                  3 months ago

                  Yep, people make a big thing out of it and maybe the proportion of them that beat SPY is higher than the proportion of random investors that do it, but there’s no good way to say 🤷

              • GenEcon@lemm.ee
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                3 months ago

                Thanks! This completly debunks the insider trade myth. You would expect a Gaussian distribution around the mean, which would be a market neutral index. And you get even a slightly to the left shifted Gaussian bell curve.

      • JasonDJ@lemmy.zip
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        3 months ago

        He also wanted me to tell you that Snowden might be affiliated with Russian government and spread the propaganda

        No…you mean the guy who stole state secrets and fled to Russia where he was welcomed with open arms might actually be a tool of the Russian propaganda machine to further divide Americans and destabilize our society?

        That can’t be. That’s impossible.

        • A_Very_Big_Fan@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          Couldn’t be that America had a vested interest in surveillance after 9/11 and overstepped its bounds several times over since then. That’s impossible.

          • JasonDJ@lemmy.zip
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            3 months ago

            Why can’t both suck?

            Like, yeah, Americas domestic surveillance practices were wildly out of line.

            That doesn’t make Snowden a saint. What he did benefits Putin far more than it benefits any American and both of them are well aware of that.

            • aidan@lemmy.world
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              3 months ago

              Calling out civil rights abuses “benefited the soviets” doesn’t mean that it didn’t need to be done.

              • JasonDJ@lemmy.zip
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                3 months ago

                Because his whole thing is destabilizing the West. What better way to do that than to destroy whatever trust was left in the establishment?

      • ArcaneSlime@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        3 months ago

        Oh so now I can say “both sides?” I thought that was anathema around here.

        I’m tired of us not criticizing the democrats for doing the same shit as the republicans because the republicans are worse. “Both sides” never meant both sides are equal, it means both sides are above the “shitty” threshold, even if varying degrees, and many of the problems are bipartisan, shit needs to change all around.

        • naught@sh.itjust.works
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          3 months ago

          I haven’t met anyone not looking for accountability for D’s on the left. I only hear “Good, if theyre guilty lock them up too”.

          “Both sides” is shorthand for “both sides are the same” at least to me. It’s the false equivalency that is the problem – which you’re not doing to be clear.

          • aidan@lemmy.world
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            3 months ago

            I definitely have seen a lot of people accusing people of both sidesing for any criticism of dems.

        • xkforce@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          You can say it and we can call it out for being the thoughtless “both sides” disengenuous horseshit that it always was. Especially since those thoughts arent yours. You literally fucking stole that sentiment from talking heads. Develop your own thoughts and opinions and maybe theyll deserve to be taken seriously.

    • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      There’s like a week or so delay in them having to report trades, by then you’ve missed the profit, drive there’s up a little, and when they sell it drops the price because they have a bunch of shares.

      A week later you find out they sold, maybe make a slight profit if your fast. Then you hear what they bought a week and go give them even more money.

      Because all the extra money following them, them selling a company could domino into real world consequences at the company like layoffs.

      The system is broken. We’re past the point of “gaming” it for scraps. We need a better system or we’re fucked.

    • PM_Your_Nudes_Please@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      People have already tried and failed doing exactly that. Because they aren’t required to report their trades when they’re making them; There’s a significant gap in reporting, so by the time the trade gets reported the stock has already increased/decreased like the congressperson expected.

      For instance, let’s say [Generic Congressperson] sees a bill that will help a particular company. They know this bill is going to pass. So they buy stock in the company, vote for the bill, and the stock goes up. They then sell the stock. Three months later, those trades get reported. And now it’s too late, because the company’s stock has already been boosted. So buying now would just be buying after the boost.

    • GenEcon@lemm.ee
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      3 months ago

      This is quiet a bet. All congress members are distributed in a Gaussian distribution around the S&P 500. So copying everyone would just give you the same average. So you would have to pick the members, who outperform consistently. But this changes year over year. For example Pelosi outperformed in 2023, but underperformed in 2022.

      And at that point you could just buy individual stocks – or even better: stick to a market neutral ETF.

      • bort@sopuli.xyz
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        3 months ago

        just pick one that

        outperformed every year, or
        sits in the right comittees, or
        is republican or
        is most likely to be corrupt (e.g. gets the most corporate donations)

        and you can limit yourself to the stocks that are relevant to their positions.

    • fossphi@lemm.ee
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      3 months ago

      The latency is too much. By the time us plebs get the data, it’s all accounted for

    • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      They read Investor’s Business Daily and The Wall Street Journal every day.

      Also insider trading, but mostly the first thing. Probably.

  • KeenFlame@feddit.nu
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    3 months ago

    I truly don’t understand this getting spread over and over out to the public and your entire country isn’t in uproar… Oh wait

    • UnderpantsWeevil@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      Everyone in America knows that if you’re making money in the stock market, it must simply be due to the fact that you are very smart. 🙃

      Also, because the folks on this list are entrenched House Reps in permanently safe seats, there’s very little to actually be done. I can’t vote against Nancy Pelosi from Texas. You can’t vote against Dan Meuser from Florida. So what is anyone actually supposed to do? Should I raid Dan Crenshaw’s office because Donald Beyer cleaned up? Or should I book a flight to Philly to protest a Congressman I didn’t know existed until today?

      I also should note that there’s a certain fudging of numbers here. Buffett has been in the investment game since the 1950s, but - with the exception of Pelosi - all these guys took office in the last 8 years. The NASDAQ market average over the last 8 years has seen a 20% growth average, with a number of years in which it has grown 40% in a single year. If you just showed up in Congress in 2019 and put all your money in The Magnificent Seven or the FAANG stocks (large, stable, popular blue chip firms) you could also outperform Warren Buffet. If you dumped all your money into an S&P Index Fund, you’d be performing comparably. If you just owned Berkshire Hathaway stock starting in 2019, you’d be outperforming Warren Buffet.

      So much of the above isn’t Congressmen beating the system, its records starting for a group of Congressmen who happened to take office during the biggest bull run in the market’s history.

  • randon31415@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago

    Roth IRA: Can only put in $6,000 per year by law.

    A congressional representatives I can’t remember the name of: Has over 2 million in Roth IRA.

    Some law was broken at some point.

    • Kage520@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      That’s not necessarily the case. Wasn’t it a big issue recently saying that high tech earners had been putting shares of startups into their Roth IRA then it was worth way more than intended later?

    • phoneymouse@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      Peter Thiel also. As far as I know, he legally contributed to the IRA and then invested the money in his own businesses, which grew several thousand percent.

  • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago

    You will most likely be unsurprised to know that Wikipedia describes Dan Meuser as, “an American businessman, politician, and philanthropist serving as the U.S. representative for Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district since 2019.” In that order. Businessman first.

    Edit: Unrelated but sort of related- “In December 2020, Meuser joined over 120 Republican members of the House of Representatives in signing an amicus brief in support of a Texas lawsuit that sought to invalidate Pennsylvania’s 2020 presidential election votes.”

  • some_guy@lemmy.sdf.org
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    3 months ago

    You fail to tie the knot that the reason they were elected in the first place is that they are smarter and better than us. It’s only natural that they’d get all the best picks, you clod. /s

  • ColeSloth@discuss.tchncs.de
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    3 months ago

    The truth to this aside, the stock market hasn’t ever been like it is over the past decade.

    I kind of feel like I suck at trading, but over the past year I’m still up 40.5% by doing almost nothing but keeping mostly the same stocks I’ve had for the past few years. Buffet was able to do it through a ton of years where stocks didn’t climb very quickly as a whole.

    • bier@feddit.nl
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      3 months ago

      Exactly, getting a 20% return on average for years and years is what makes Warren Buffet one of the best Investors. Getting a good year can happen to anyone.

      • KeenFlame@feddit.nu
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        3 months ago

        They just happen to drive policy on what the government spends money on.

        Truly enlightened opinion. I don’t agree.

        • bier@feddit.nl
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          3 months ago

          I absolutely agree they shouldn’t be able to hold stocks. But just giving a percentage they made this year doesn’t really tell you anything.

          It’s like saying there is no global warming after a colder than usual winter.

      • GamingChairModel@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        Also, huge gains while investing in 0.001% of a company is one thing. Maintaining those gains when the funds under your control represent major stakes in the companies you invest in, enough to get board seats and move prices by your transactions alone, is another thing entirely.

    • Asafum@feddit.nl
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      3 months ago

      Man. I mean I know I’m pathetic in absolutely every way, but it hurts to read that. I have 2 ETFs (vanguard sp500 and emerging markets) and a us bond that I use as a secondary savings account and all they do is lose and occasionally stay flat…

      • ColeSloth@discuss.tchncs.de
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        3 months ago

        I’m in on VanEck semi conductor etf and they’re up 70% for the year :-/

        Another etf called WUGI that deals with 5G relates stocks is up about 60%. Those are the two etf’s I have the most in.

        • Asafum@feddit.nl
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          3 months ago

          It could be the selection of stocks vanguard chose to be part of that ETF that are duds I guess :/

          • porous_grey_matter@lemmy.ml
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            3 months ago

            No, if it’s the s&p500 ETF (VOO in the usa, VUSA in UK) it has the stocks from the s&p500, they didn’t choose anything. It’s just the 500 biggest companies in the US (roughly). Either you don’t have that, or something else is going very wrong.

          • Imalostmerchant@lemmy.world
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            3 months ago

            What are the actual ticker symbols of your investments? Agree with the other user that something isn’t adding up here. You’re likely not invested in what you think you are

    • GenEcon@lemm.ee
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      3 months ago

      Shes is actually perfect for that. She outperformed in 2023, but underperformed in 2022. You would expect a Gaussian distribution around the mean. And if you include every congress member, you get a Gaussian distribution, shifted slightly to the left.

    • underisk@lemmy.ml
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      3 months ago

      she is certainly the one with the most notoriety. off the top of your head, which party do the rest belong to? which state do they represent?

      • TheSambassador@lemmy.world
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        3 months ago

        While it’s not really great that any representative basically gets to do insider trading, it’s frustrating that Pelosi gets most of the heat. It feels very targeted and people complaining about the issue often only complain about her and not the many many other representatives that do the same thing.

        • underisk@lemmy.ml
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          3 months ago

          This graphic literally includes three more people aside from Pelosi. it is doing the opposite of what you’re frustrated about. it would be more bizarre if it didn’t list the congressperson who is most notable for profiting from insider trading.

        • GamingChairModel@lemmy.world
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          3 months ago

          They shouldn’t be trading options, which is part of the heat. Normal people don’t do that.

          But also, Pelosi’s trades (or her husband’s trades) have mostly been bullish on big name tech companies based around the Bay Area. It just so happens that sector has utterly dominated stock returns in the last few decades, and not even in a surprising way. So that’s not really insider information, but rather adopting an unusually high risk profile for gambling on already successful tech stocks.

  • betz24@lemmynsfw.com
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    3 months ago

    It’s also harder to invest with the amount of funds that Berkshire Hathaway has. The slippage must be a difficult task to manage. Also, they have to make more than 20% because they have to payout the employees and guarantee growth for the investors.

  • thewut@lemmy.world
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    3 months ago

    1913

    WTF happened in 1913 Islam has it written in their Koran that they cannot charge interest on money (usuary)

    The Bible also say’s that you can’t charge interest on money to your own group (Heter Iska). Which is more closely aligned with the Koran and the Old Testament.

    Heter Iska Rocket Mortgage

    It’s fairly easy to assume that when the blockchain tokenizes all assets both physical and intellectual we’ll see public/private domestic/foreign globalism similar to the way “The Federal Reserve Act of 1913” put all the assets of America in the hands of the “private central bank,” this model will expand with blockchain to a global “tokenization” central bank.

    Same as before but larger.